Disease Transfer: Difference between revisions
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| [ | | [[Biology]], [[Math]]: | ||
| Disease Transfer, Exponential Growth | | Disease Transfer, Exponential Growth | ||
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To track how quickly a disease spreads, we can look at how many were original carriers, and how many became hosts. (''Note: for the following section, this will assume a class of 30 students.'') | To track how quickly a disease spreads, we can look at how many were original carriers, and how many became hosts. (''Note: for the following section, this will assume a class of 30 students.'') | ||
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| Rounds | | Rounds | ||
| Total Infected | | Total Infected | ||
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This sample data collection shows how quickly our disease can spread from one host to another. As more trials were performed, the number of people infected increased faster and faster. This is because with each new trial, there were even more people infected than before, with the rate of growth accelerating. This means that the rate at which a disease spreads is ''Exponential'', or grows faster as time goes on. | |||
* | For tracking the spread of disease, you can use a simple "Pint-size"<!--PUNPUNPUNPUNPUNPUNPUNPUNPUNPUN--> calculation: | ||
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|+ Exponential Growth | |||
| '''P ≈ i''' * 2<sup>''N''</sup> '''/ T''' | |||
|- | |||
| '''P''': Percentage infected | |||
|- | |||
| '''i''': Initial # infected | |||
|- | |||
| ''N'': Number of Trials performed | |||
|- | |||
| '''T''': Total # of people | |||
|} | |||
This equation is a way to approximate how many will be infected by the end of each trial, and in general it will be quite accurate. There will be some small differences from the actual results, since the equation doesn't account for anyone who is infected mixing with another infected individual. However, it still shows us how the spread of diseases, like the common cold or flu, can be predicted using math. | |||
== | == Additional Information == | ||
* This can be turned into a detective game! Have the students record who they mixed their water with during each trial. After all the trials and finding out who is now infected, have the students work together and compile their data. By comparing who mixed water with whom, and with careful evaluation, students can learn to determine which individual(s) had to be the initial carrier(s)! For this type of game, it is suggested that the number of carriers be decreased to simplify the detection work. | |||
* This demonstration pairs well with the [[Towers of Hanoi]] and the [[Chlorine The Bacteria Killer]] demonstrations | |||
Latest revision as of 16:41, 19 August 2016
| Biology, Math: | Disease Transfer, Exponential Growth |
| Grade Range: | Middle School, High School |
| Format: | Hands-on |
This is a simple demonstration that gets two messages across: How easily diseases can be transferred, and why the number of people sick grows so quickly. This demonstration also can help students make connections between different subjects, in this case seeing the connection between math and biology.
Materials
- Dixie Cups (One per student)
- Water
- Eyedropper with Phenolphthalein
- 0.3M NaOH Solution
- 10mL Graduated Cylinder
- 100mL Beaker
Safety Precautions
Please read the Liquid Chemical section of the Demonstration Safety page before performing this demonstration.
Demonstration
- Preparation
- Fill the dixie cups about 1/3 with water. Select a tenth of the cups (rounded up) and add 5mL of the NaOH solution to them. To do so, first pour the NaOH into the beaker, then measure 5mL using the graduated cylinder. Be sure to select the cups at random!
- Presentation
- Have students all pick a cup of water, and make sure to remind them that they should NOT drink from them. Some of these cups are contaminated with a mysterious disease! Be sure to state how many of the cups are contaminated.
- Explain that students will be mixing their water cups with the others around them. Each student will end up mixing four times, and shouldn't mix more than once with the same person. To mix waters, one of the students should pour their cup fully into the other student's cup. Then, that student should pour water back into the first student's cup until they are equal.
- Ask the students to all choose one person next to them, shake hands, and mix their water with them.
- Have students now choose someone they have to walk to, shake hands, and mix their water again.
- Have students now choose someone nearby that they haven't mixed water with, shake hands, and mix their water again.
- Have students choose someone they know that they haven't mixed water with, shake hands, and mix their water again.
- After students have finished, have them all sit in their seats or in a row. Let them know that you are now going to check who caught the mysterious illness by using your indicator. Walk along and put 3-4 drops of the indicator in each cup, and have students gently swirl their cups to see if a color change happens.
- After noting how many students have a color change, remind them of how few of them were originally infected. How did it spread so quickly?
Why This Works
Diseases can transfer from host to host in a variety of ways. Coughing and sneezing are common ways for disease to spread, and other diseases can survive on surfaces like counters and doors. Something as simple as shaking hands with someone could be enough to transfer the illness from one person to another, and then that person becomes a new host to spread the disease.
To track how quickly a disease spreads, we can look at how many were original carriers, and how many became hosts. (Note: for the following section, this will assume a class of 30 students.)
| Rounds | Total Infected |
| 0 (Start) | 3 |
| 1 | ~6 |
| 2 | ~11 |
| 3 | ~19 |
| 4 | ~27 |
This sample data collection shows how quickly our disease can spread from one host to another. As more trials were performed, the number of people infected increased faster and faster. This is because with each new trial, there were even more people infected than before, with the rate of growth accelerating. This means that the rate at which a disease spreads is Exponential, or grows faster as time goes on.
For tracking the spread of disease, you can use a simple "Pint-size" calculation:
| P ≈ i * 2N / T |
| P: Percentage infected |
| i: Initial # infected |
| N: Number of Trials performed |
| T: Total # of people |
This equation is a way to approximate how many will be infected by the end of each trial, and in general it will be quite accurate. There will be some small differences from the actual results, since the equation doesn't account for anyone who is infected mixing with another infected individual. However, it still shows us how the spread of diseases, like the common cold or flu, can be predicted using math.
Additional Information
- This can be turned into a detective game! Have the students record who they mixed their water with during each trial. After all the trials and finding out who is now infected, have the students work together and compile their data. By comparing who mixed water with whom, and with careful evaluation, students can learn to determine which individual(s) had to be the initial carrier(s)! For this type of game, it is suggested that the number of carriers be decreased to simplify the detection work.
- This demonstration pairs well with the Towers of Hanoi and the Chlorine The Bacteria Killer demonstrations